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2024-12-14 00:03:08

Consumer stocks of Hong Kong stocks fell, with Budweiser Asia Pacific (01876.HK) and China Resources Beer (00291.HK) falling more than 5%, Nongfu Spring (09633.HK) and Mengniu Dairy (02319.HK) falling 4%, and Li Ning (02331.HK) and Anta Sports (02020.HK) falling more than 3%.Market News: The Bank of Japan will consider not raising interest rates at its next policy meeting.Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.


Huaan, AVIC, etc. lined up to enter the ranks of public offering warehousing logistics REITs. According to the announcement of AVIC Fund, the AVIC Yishang warehousing logistics REITs jointly built with ESR Group, the largest new economic real estate management company in the Asia-Pacific region, are being issued. This is the first REIT issued by ESR Group in China, and its infrastructure assets consist of three warehousing and logistics parks, namely, Phase I, Phase II and Phase III of Fulaide Kunshan Logistics Park. According to the data of wind, up to now, Huaxia Fund, harvest fund, Huatai Securities Asset Management, Hongtu Innovation Fund and CICC Fund all have a listed warehousing and logistics REIT, while Huaan Waigaoqiao REIT, which was established on December 12th, has not been listed yet. In addition, Huaxia Fund and southern fund's newly declared warehousing logistics REIT are in the inquiry stage, while Huitianfu's warehousing logistics REIT is in the feedback stage.The Third Green Conference of Electronic Information Industry was held in Beijing. According to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, on December 11th, China Institute of Electronic Technology Standardization held the Third Green Conference of Electronic Information Industry in Beijing. At the meeting, relevant comrades of the Department of Energy Conservation and Comprehensive Utilization of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said that the electronic information industry is an important strategic and basic industry, and it is also a key industry to vigorously promote green development. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has adopted a series of policy measures around strengthening source control, promoting green manufacturing, and strengthening resource recycling, so as to promote the green development of the entire process and chain of the electronic information industry and help the construction of new industrialization. Relevant experts, scholars and business representatives conducted extensive exchanges on topics such as the control of harmful substances in electrical and electronic products, green supply chain management, and coordinated development of digital green.Organic fluorides in two underground waters in Tochigi Prefecture, Japan exceeded the standard. On the 13th, local time, it was learned that the government department of Tochigi Prefecture in Japan said on the same day that organic fluorides exceeding Japan's provisional safe range were detected in the underground waters of two wells located in Ghost Nuqiu, Zhengang City. (CCTV News)


On the 13th, the European futures of the container freight index rose by 7.03%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the European futures of the main contract container freight index closed at 2502, up or down by +7.03%, with a turnover of 41,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were net, and the difference position was 3,022 lots. A total of 78,900 lots of European futures contracts were traded, an increase of 8,599 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 25,100 lots, an increase of 466 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 22,100 lots, a decrease of 120 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.CEO of Cloud Whale Intelligence responded to layoffs: In order to optimize the organizational structure, it was streamlined from 1,600 to 1,400. Zhang Junbin, CEO of Cloud Whale Intelligence, recently issued a statement in a circle of friends, responding to previous reports of layoffs: "The company's personnel adjustment is to optimize the organizational structure and improve organizational efficiency." According to Zhang Junbin, the company was downsized from the original 1,600 to 1,400, which was not a large-scale layoff. Previously, a number of insiders and employees of Cloud Whale Intelligence revealed to Sina Technology that the company has recently started a major layoff. This round of layoffs involves a wide range of business departments, including development departments, testing departments, etc., and in groups, some groups directly cut their staff by half, and extreme groups cut their staff by 65%. In addition, the company's 12 director-level leaders, three of whom left in the past year, "is very mobile." (Sina Technology)

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